Lane United vs Calgary Foothills analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lane United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
LAN
7 - 1
VIC
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 1
VIC
32%
26%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 0
LAN
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 1
ATL
44%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CFO
1 - 1
LAN
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Calgary Foothills
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CFO
1 - 0
SEA
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CFO
2 - 1
SEA
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CFO
1 - 1
LAN
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CFO
0 - 0
LAN
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 3
CFO
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |