Lancaster City vs Radcliffe Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 3
LAN
14%
21%
66%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAN
6 - 1
OSS
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
OSS
2 - 2
LAN
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 1
TRA
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 0
LAN
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Radcliffe Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
RAD
3 - 1
FAR
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CLI
2 - 1
RAD
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RAD
2 - 2
WIT
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
OSS
0 - 2
RAD
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 0
RAD
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |