Lancaster City vs New Mills analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.5%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.4%
2.8%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 1
LAN
16%
22%
63%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
LAN
8%
17%
76%
|
34 | 5 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
SCA
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MOS
2 - 0
LAN
34%
24%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
KEN
2 - 2
LAN
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
New Mills
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
KEN
8%
14%
79%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 3
WIT
6%
13%
81%
|
5 | 33 | 28 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
OSS
2 - 0
NEW
90%
8%
2%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
LAN
8%
17%
76%
|
5 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
4 - 1
NEW
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |