Lancaster City vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
OSS
5 - 1
LAN
64%
20%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
LAN
1 - 0
WAK
30%
27%
43%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LAN
4 - 3
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
ROU
2 - 1
LAN
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 2
BRI
48%
25%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 2
ROU
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CLI
2 - 3
HAR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 1
MOS
58%
21%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
UNM
2 - 0
HAR
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
HAR
65%
19%
15%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |