Lancaster City vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 5
SKE
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GAR
1 - 2
LAN
51%
23%
27%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
NBS
2 - 2
LAN
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 0
HAR
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
OSS
5 - 1
LAN
64%
20%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CUR
6 - 1
WOS
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
BRI
3 - 3
CUR
17%
22%
60%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2007 |
CUR
2 - 0
BAM
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ROU
1 - 2
CUR
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CUR
4 - 2
GAR
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |