III Divisao Round 7

Lagoa vs FC Castrense analysis

Lagoa FC Castrense
28 ELO 27
-7.2% Tilt -9.1%
21048º General ELO ranking 10280º
368º Country ELO ranking 247º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Lagoa
22.6%
Draw
24.2%
FC Castrense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
Lagoa
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.2%
Win probability
FC Castrense
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lagoa
FC Castrense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lagoa
Lagoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2012
MOU
Moura
1 - 1
Lagoa
LAG
72%
16%
11%
29 38 9 0
14 Oct. 2012
LAG
Lagoa
2 - 2
Lusitano VRSA
LUS
14%
21%
65%
28 57 29 +1
07 Oct. 2012
SES
Sesimbra
1 - 1
Lagoa
LAG
55%
22%
23%
28 30 2 0
30 Sep. 2012
LAG
Lagoa
2 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
36%
24%
40%
27 30 3 +1
23 Sep. 2012
ALJ
Aljustrelense
3 - 0
Lagoa
LAG
57%
22%
21%
28 31 3 -1

Matches

FC Castrense
FC Castrense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2012
FCC
FC Castrense
2 - 0
Monte Trigo
MON
64%
19%
17%
25 21 4 0
14 Oct. 2012
UNI
União Montemor
0 - 0
FC Castrense
FCC
71%
17%
12%
25 37 12 0
07 Oct. 2012
MOU
Moura
7 - 1
FC Castrense
FCC
73%
16%
11%
26 37 11 -1
30 Sep. 2012
FCC
FC Castrense
1 - 2
Lusitano VRSA
LUS
15%
22%
64%
26 57 31 0
23 Sep. 2012
SES
Sesimbra
1 - 0
FC Castrense
FCC
54%
22%
24%
27 29 2 -1