Sergipano Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Lagarto vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 1
ATG
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFP
0 - 1
LAG
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 2
SER
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AMP
0 - 3
LAG
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 4
CON
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
ITA
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 1
ITA
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |