La Horquetta vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
12º
4º
22
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 54 |
2º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Horquetta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
LHR
4 - 2
ATH
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
LHR
4 - 0
MOR
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
LHR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
LHR
2 - 0
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 2
LHR
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POL
1 - 2
CON
47%
24%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 2
CEN
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
CUN
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -3 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
ATH
73%
17%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CON
0 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |