La Fresneda vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 4
FRE
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
4 - 0
HIS
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 1
POD
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PDV
1 - 2
FRE
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 1
ATL
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NAR
4 - 0
PDV
58%
22%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 2
NAR
67%
18%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 3
LLA
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOZ
1 - 1
NAR
22%
22%
57%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NAR
1 - 0
TAP
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |