La Chaux-de-Fonds vs FC Monthey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
12º
12º
37
10º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Chaux-de-Fonds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
LAC
14%
18%
68%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ILI
0 - 2
LAC
11%
14%
76%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LAC
2 - 0
LAU
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 3
LAC
27%
21%
52%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LAC
2 - 0
NAT
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Monthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCM
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 1
NAT
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ECH
2 - 1
FCM
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 2
SOL
28%
23%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
SOL
3 - 1
FCM
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |