Kwai Tsing vs North District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
74.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.8%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
14º
14º
34
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kwai Tsing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HOI
5 - 1
KWA
78%
13%
8%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
WIN
6 - 0
KWA
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
KWA
1 - 4
ISK
7%
15%
78%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CWD
8 - 0
KWA
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KWA
2 - 4
HOI
21%
21%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
North District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NDT
0 - 1
CWD
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NDT
0 - 2
WIN
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 4
NDT
43%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NDT
1 - 1
KWL
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CWD
4 - 0
NDT
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |