Kvarnsveden vs FC Järfälla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
10º
14º
14º
50
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kvarnsveden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VIK
4 - 2
KVA
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
KVA
1 - 3
HUD
12%
18%
70%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
KUN
3 - 1
KVA
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
KVA
2 - 5
SKI
17%
20%
64%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
KAL
4 - 0
KVA
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Järfälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FCJ
2 - 0
HUD
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 3
FCJ
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FCJ
2 - 2
SKI
47%
21%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 1
FCJ
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCJ
4 - 0
IFK
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |