Lierse Kempenzonen vs RWDM Brussels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
9º
8º
57
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 46 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 24 |
14º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 20 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 15 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lierse Kempenzonen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
SER
0 - 2
KSK
27%
24%
48%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
KSC
1 - 1
KSK
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
KSK
1 - 3
BRG
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
KSK
1 - 0
LOM
31%
24%
46%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
WAA
1 - 0
KSK
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
RWDM Brussels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
RWD
1 - 0
KRC
74%
16%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
EUP
0 - 1
RWD
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
RWD
2 - 1
LIE
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
SSG
1 - 3
RWD
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
RWD
32%
24%
43%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |