Excelsior Mariakerke vs Ardennen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mariakerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AAL
3 - 3
KSC
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
KSC
2 - 1
EEN
36%
22%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
WES
4 - 1
KSC
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
KSC
2 - 1
DEN
46%
21%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SKM
1 - 1
KSC
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ardennen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
EEN
1 - 1
ARD
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ARD
1 - 2
EEN
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ARD
2 - 2
APP
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ARD
2 - 1
FCS
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
JZU
0 - 4
ARD
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |