Provincial Belgium Eastern Flanders Round 7

Excelsior Mariakerke vs Ardennen analysis

Excelsior Mariakerke Ardennen
26 ELO 28
10.9% Tilt -2.6%
40991º General ELO ranking 6822º
901º Country ELO ranking 159º
ELO win probability
56%
Excelsior Mariakerke
19.7%
Draw
24.3%
Ardennen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
Excelsior Mariakerke
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.3%
Win probability
Ardennen
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Excelsior Mariakerke
-13%
+5%
Ardennen

ELO progression

Excelsior Mariakerke
Ardennen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior Mariakerke
Excelsior Mariakerke
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2019
APP
Voorde Appelterre
3 - 0
Excelsior Mariakerke
KSC
79%
13%
9%
28 40 12 0
29 Sep. 2019
KSC
Excelsior Mariakerke
2 - 1
Kruibeke
KRU
83%
11%
7%
28 19 9 0
21 Sep. 2019
FCS
Latem
0 - 1
Excelsior Mariakerke
KSC
43%
22%
35%
27 25 2 +1
15 Sep. 2019
KSC
Excelsior Mariakerke
0 - 0
Adegem
ADE
72%
15%
13%
27 23 4 0
07 Sep. 2019
DEN
Dendermonde
3 - 2
Excelsior Mariakerke
KSC
35%
22%
43%
28 23 5 -1

Matches

Ardennen
Ardennen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2019
ARD
Ardennen
0 - 1
Elene-Grotenberge
EEG
29%
22%
49%
28 35 7 0
29 Sep. 2019
EEN
Eendracht Zele
2 - 1
Ardennen
ARD
55%
21%
24%
29 32 3 -1
22 Sep. 2019
ARD
Ardennen
4 - 3
Jong Zulte
JZU
23%
21%
56%
27 36 9 +2
14 Sep. 2019
HAA
Haasdonk
0 - 3
Ardennen
ARD
80%
12%
7%
25 39 14 +2
08 Sep. 2019
ARD
Ardennen
2 - 4
Berlare
BER
43%
23%
35%
26 27 1 -1