Persha Liga Grupo Ascenso. Jor. 5

Kremin vs Karpaty Lviv analysis

Kremin Karpaty Lviv
50 ELO 65
5.4% Tilt 12.3%
4606º General ELO ranking 728º
52º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
18%
Kremin
24.6%
Draw
57.4%
Karpaty Lviv

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
Kremin
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57.4%
Win probability
Karpaty Lviv
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kremin
-7%
+15%
Karpaty Lviv

Points and table prediction

Kremin
Their league position
Karpaty Lviv
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
18
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
LNZ Cherkasy
22
15
57.5%
Polissya Zhytomyr
29
14
11%
Metalurh Zaporizhya
20
14
38%
Obolon
28
13
19%
Karpaty Lviv
18
12
56.5%
FK Epitsentr
15
7
100%
Nyva Ternopil
7
5
100%
Kremin
7
5
100%
Expected probabilities
Kremin
Karpaty Lviv
Promotion
0% 22.5%
Promotion play-offs
0% 21%
Mid-table
100% 56.5%

ELO progression

Kremin
Karpaty Lviv
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kremin
Kremin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
KRE
Kremin
1 - 2
FK Epitsentr
FED
30%
27%
43%
50 62 12 0
22 Apr. 2023
NYV
Nyva Ternopil
0 - 2
Kremin
KRE
52%
25%
23%
49 57 8 +1
16 Apr. 2023
KRE
Kremin
0 - 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
POL
19%
27%
54%
49 66 17 0
08 Apr. 2023
KPT
Karpaty Lviv
2 - 0
Kremin
KRE
71%
18%
11%
50 63 13 -1
27 Nov. 2022
KRE
Kremin
3 - 0
Chernihiv
FKC
56%
22%
22%
48 47 1 +2

Matches

Karpaty Lviv
Karpaty Lviv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
OBO
Obolon
1 - 2
Karpaty Lviv
KPT
42%
28%
30%
64 66 2 0
22 Apr. 2023
KPT
Karpaty Lviv
1 - 1
LNZ Cherkasy
LNZ
41%
27%
32%
64 67 3 0
15 Apr. 2023
MEZ
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 - 1
Karpaty Lviv
KPT
33%
27%
41%
63 57 6 +1
08 Apr. 2023
KPT
Karpaty Lviv
2 - 0
Kremin
KRE
71%
18%
11%
63 50 13 0
25 Mar. 2023
FCV
Veres Rivne
0 - 3
Karpaty Lviv
KPT
49%
24%
27%
62 65 3 +1
X