Jong Genk vs Club NXT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
16º
16º
47
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 46 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 24 |
14º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 20 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 15 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 45% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KSC
4 - 0
KRC
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
KRC
0 - 4
LOM
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KRC
1 - 0
RSC
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
EUP
3 - 1
KRC
45%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KRC
0 - 3
RWD
30%
26%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Club NXT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
BRG
1 - 3
LOM
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
BRG
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BRG
3 - 1
KSK
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ZUL
2 - 1
BRG
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BRG
2 - 0
WAA
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |