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Poland Fourth Division. Matchday 29

Starogard Gdański vs TKP Elana Torun analysis

Starogard Gdański TKP Elana Torun
6 ELO 18
-2% Tilt 74%
12510º General ELO ranking 8603º
148º Country ELO ranking 84º
ELO win probability
25.9%
Starogard Gdański
22.3%
Draw
51.8%
TKP Elana Torun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
Starogard Gdański
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51.8%
Win probability
TKP Elana Torun
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Starogard Gdański
+14%
+35%
TKP Elana Torun

Points and table prediction

Starogard Gdański
Their league position
TKP Elana Torun
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
20º
56
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Radunia Stężyca
87
87
100%
Świt Skolwin
81
81
100%
Polonia Środa
76
76
100%
Starogard Gdański
61
61
100%
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
58
58
100%
Sokół Kleczew
57
57
100%
TKP Elana Torun
56
56
100%
Unia Janikowo
54
54
100%
Jarota Jarocin
49
49
100%
Bałtyk Koszalin
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Nielba Wagrowiec
11º
47
47
11º
33%
Flota Swinoujscie
12º
47
47
12º
33%
Bałtyk Gdynia
13º
47
47
13º
33%
Pomorzanin Toruń
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Unia Swarzędz
15º
41
41
15º
100%
Przodkowo
16º
40
40
16º
50%
Gwardia Koszalin
17º
40
40
17º
50%
Pogoń Szczecin II
18º
39
39
18º
100%
Gryf Wejherowo
19º
36
36
19º
100%
Górnik Konin
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Chemik Police
21º
18
18
21º
100%
Mieszko Gniezno
22º
4
4
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Starogard Gdański
TKP Elana Torun
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

TKP Elana Torun
TKP
Starogard Gdański
KSG
Pogoń Szczecin II
PSZ
Przodkowo
PRZ
Radunia Stężyca
RST
Świt Skolwin
SKO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Starogard Gdański
Starogard Gdański
1%
X%
2%
ELO KSG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2021
KSG
Starogard Gdański
0 - 4
Polonia Środa
PSR
45%
27%
28%
100 74 26 -1
08 May. 2021
SKO
Świt Skolwin
1 - 2
Starogard Gdański
KSG
46%
27%
27%
99 100 1 +1
01 May. 2021
KSG
Starogard Gdański
0 - 2
Radunia Stężyca
RST
46%
27%
28%
100 144 -44 -1
24 Apr. 2021
BAL
Bałtyk Gdynia
2 - 1
Starogard Gdański
KSG
45%
27%
28%
101 112 11 -1
17 Apr. 2021
KSG
Starogard Gdański
2 - 1
Przodkowo
PRZ
46%
27%
27%
100 116 -16 +1

Matches

TKP Elana Torun
TKP Elana Torun
1%
X%
2%
ELO TKP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2021
TKP
TKP Elana Torun
1 - 0
Pogoń Szczecin II
PSZ
51%
26%
23%
250 79 171 +1
07 May. 2021
PSR
Polonia Środa
3 - 0
TKP Elana Torun
TKP
39%
28%
33%
251 73 -178 -1
29 Apr. 2021
TKP
TKP Elana Torun
0 - 0
Świt Skolwin
SKO
47%
27%
26%
251 100 151 0
24 Apr. 2021
RST
Radunia Stężyca
3 - 3
TKP Elana Torun
TKP
45%
27%
29%
251 144 -107 0
17 Apr. 2021
TKP
TKP Elana Torun
2 - 0
Bałtyk Gdynia
BAL
47%
27%
26%
250 112 138 +1