Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 0
PLO
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 0
WAR
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 2
LPO
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MIE
2 - 2
WAR
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 1
WAR
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
RAK
4 - 0
GDA
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MIE
0 - 2
RAK
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RAK
2 - 0
WLO
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 0
RAK
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
GOR
0 - 1
RAK
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |