Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
WAR
3 - 1
GKS
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 0
WAR
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
GDA
2 - 2
WAR
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 1
GDA
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 5
WAR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 0
WIS
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 0
GAK
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 1
POL
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZAG
0 - 2
MOT
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |