Kowloon City vs North District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
3º
2º
34
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kowloon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 1
KWL
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KWL
2 - 0
EAD
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KWL
2 - 1
YOK
87%
11%
3%
|
48 | 11 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NDT
1 - 1
KWL
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
KWL
3 - 4
WON
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
North District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
KWA
0 - 6
NDT
8%
17%
75%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NDT
0 - 1
CWD
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NDT
0 - 2
WIN
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 4
NDT
43%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NDT
1 - 1
KWL
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |