Kottern vs Affing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AIC
4 - 0
KOT
66%
19%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
KOT
0 - 0
SCH
33%
24%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UNT
2 - 1
KOT
50%
23%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
KOT
0 - 4
WAC
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GER
1 - 1
KOT
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Affing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AFF
2 - 4
LAN
33%
24%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 4
AFF
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AFF
0 - 1
DEF
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DJK
0 - 1
AFF
69%
18%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AFF
4 - 1
SON
22%
23%
56%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +3 |