Kose vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
78.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 3
KOS
77%
13%
10%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
KOS
1 - 7
IMA
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
RUD
3 - 2
KOS
28%
20%
52%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
KOS
0 - 2
TOR
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NOM
5 - 0
KOS
95%
3%
1%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
PAI
4 - 3
KUR
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GAN
0 - 1
PAI
22%
20%
58%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PAI
2 - 0
PJK
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SJK
0 - 3
PAI
17%
19%
64%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
PAI
1 - 2
KEI
69%
18%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |