Korup vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
KOR
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KOR
3 - 3
HAD
15%
19%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SON
4 - 3
KOR
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MID
6 - 1
HAD
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 2
MID
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MID
4 - 1
FJO
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
MID
4 - 4
FYN
24%
21%
55%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MID
1 - 1
LIF
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |