Korup vs Herlufsholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
HAD
2 - 0
KOR
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
KOR
0 - 0
SON
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
KOR
1 - 4
KOL
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
OKS
5 - 1
KOR
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FJO
3 - 1
KOR
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Herlufsholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SON
4 - 2
HER
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
OKS
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HER
3 - 4
RIN
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SYD
4 - 1
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
FRE
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |