Köln U19 vs B. Leverkusen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+180%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
6º
3º
27
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 24 |
4º
|
96.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
KOL
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
4 - 0
KAI
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DUI
4 - 1
KOL
35%
23%
41%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 4
SCP
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
KOL
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 2
ALA
68%
17%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WEH
4 - 3
LEV
24%
20%
56%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 2
VIK
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LEV
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 0
ARM
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |