Köln II vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
DIE
4 - 0
HAM
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
1 - 2
DIE
31%
25%
45%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
DIE
2 - 2
GRA
76%
15%
8%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 2
DIE
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
DIE
3 - 0
BFR
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
WEG
0 - 2
ADL
19%
24%
57%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
WUP
2 - 0
WEG
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
WEG
0 - 0
BFR
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
MSV
4 - 1
WEG
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
FOR
3 - 3
WEG
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |