Köln II vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
DIE
1 - 0
ROT
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 1
DIE
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
DIE
4 - 1
VFB
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
AAA
1 - 0
DIE
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
DIE
0 - 0
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
FCB
66%
21%
14%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
DUS
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SWE
3 - 0
BSC
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 1
SWE
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SWE
2 - 1
KFC
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |