Köln II vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
DIE
2 - 1
F95
47%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
LUB
4 - 1
DIE
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
DIE
0 - 3
BSV
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
ERF
4 - 3
DIE
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
DIE
3 - 2
HOL
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
FCN
1 - 1
HAN
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
HAN
2 - 2
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
HER
0 - 0
HAN
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
HAN
2 - 1
HSV
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
STU
1 - 0
HAN
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |