Köln II vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
FCR
1 - 3
DIE
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
GRA
2 - 3
DIE
42%
25%
32%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2000 |
BOR
7 - 3
DIE
56%
25%
20%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
DIE
2 - 0
RHE
35%
27%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
MSV
0 - 0
DIE
63%
22%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
BOR
2 - 2
BAY
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
BAY
3 - 0
RHE
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
MSV
0 - 0
BAY
24%
24%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
BAY
4 - 2
WEG
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
BFR
1 - 3
BAY
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |