Kocatepe vs Excelsior .20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kocatepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SJC
3 - 1
KOC
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
KOC
3 - 1
PFC
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FCB
3 - 1
KOC
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
KOC
0 - 1
NIE
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DEM
4 - 1
KOC
77%
15%
9%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 4
VOC
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 2
SJC
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PFC
1 - 1
EXC
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCB
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NIE
1 - 2
EXC
48%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |