Kocaelispor vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1996 |
KAY
1 - 0
KOC
15%
22%
64%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
KOC
1 - 1
ALT
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
GAL
0 - 4
KOC
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
KOC
4 - 2
DEN
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
BJK
3 - 5
KOC
71%
17%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
CSK
4 - 2
PAN
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
SSO
0 - 0
CSK
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CSK
1 - 0
LSO
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
SVA
1 - 3
CSK
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
CSK
4 - 0
LOV
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |