Northern Ireland Second Division Round 9

Knockbreda vs Ards FC analysis

Knockbreda Ards FC
56 ELO 51
16.5% Tilt 7.6%
6149º General ELO ranking 2532º
34º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
57.4%
Knockbreda
21.6%
Draw
21%
Ards FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
Knockbreda
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21%
Win probability
Ards FC
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Knockbreda
-28%
+18%
Ards FC

ELO progression

Knockbreda
Ards FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Knockbreda
Knockbreda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2014
KNO
Knockbreda
2 - 0
Armagh City
ARC
56%
22%
23%
54 52 2 0
11 Oct. 2014
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 0
Knockbreda
KNO
27%
24%
49%
55 45 10 -1
07 Oct. 2014
POR
Portadown
3 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
69%
18%
13%
55 67 12 0
20 Sep. 2014
KNO
Knockbreda
0 - 1
Loughgall
LOU
75%
16%
10%
56 45 11 -1
06 Sep. 2014
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
0 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
35%
25%
40%
55 50 5 +1

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2014
ARD
Ards FC
5 - 1
Loughgall
LOU
63%
20%
16%
52 46 6 0
11 Oct. 2014
PSN
PS Northern Ireland
0 - 7
Ards FC
ARD
35%
25%
41%
50 44 6 +2
07 Oct. 2014
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
3 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
51%
24%
26%
51 53 2 -1
04 Oct. 2014
ARD
Ards FC
2 - 1
Dundela
DUN
50%
22%
29%
51 47 4 0
20 Sep. 2014
CAR
Carrick Rangers
1 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
60%
21%
19%
51 55 4 0