Kjelsås vs Mercantile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kjelsås
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SJE
4 - 0
KJE
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
KJE
0 - 1
S08
10%
20%
71%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
KJE
1 - 1
SJE
56%
22%
23%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
FRI
0 - 1
KJE
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
KJE
2 - 1
JER
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mercantile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 2
MFC
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2004 |
MFC
0 - 3
FRI
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MFC
4 - 2
EID
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
NYB
7 - 1
MFC
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MFC
5 - 2
SKJ
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +4 |