Kitzbühel vs SV Lafnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
KIT
2 - 2
ZEL
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
KIT
4 - 2
HOH
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SEE
0 - 1
KIT
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
KIT
3 - 2
FCW
53%
22%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GRO
3 - 0
KIT
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
SV Lafnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
SVL
2 - 1
WEI
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
SVL
3 - 5
MAT
12%
18%
70%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
SVL
6 - 1
VOC
70%
17%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
STA
2 - 4
SVL
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SVL
3 - 1
GDF
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |