Kitchee FC vs TSW Pegasus FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TMS
0 - 1
KFC
21%
25%
55%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
KFC
0 - 1
PFC
56%
20%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 1
KFC
42%
22%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
KFC
6 - 0
HON
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
KFC
4 - 2
WTP
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
TSW Pegasus FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
WTP
3 - 1
PFC
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
KFC
0 - 1
PFC
56%
20%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 1
KFC
42%
22%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 4
PFC
22%
24%
53%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PFC
4 - 0
HON
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +2 |