Kitchee FC vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
2º
1º
31
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 10
KFC
6%
17%
78%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
HON
0 - 5
KFC
16%
19%
65%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 0
KFC
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
KFC
2 - 2
VIS
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 3
KFC
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SDI
6 - 1
HKU
63%
18%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 3
SDI
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SDI
2 - 0
HKU
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
KFC
2 - 1
SDI
67%
18%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EAS
0 - 1
SDI
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |