Kirchbichl vs Mötz / Silz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
KIR
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
KIR
5 - 1
KUN
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
KIR
2 - 1
REI
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KIR
2 - 1
VOL
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
SVI
3 - 1
KIR
30%
22%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mötz / Silz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 4
KEM
30%
22%
47%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 1
MOT
76%
15%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MOT
0 - 0
REU
44%
23%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
WAT
0 - 0
MOT
71%
17%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MOT
1 - 4
FUG
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |