KMC vs Dodoma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
KMC
1 - 1
BUM
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
MKF
1 - 1
KMC
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 2
KMC
37%
30%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
KMC
1 - 1
RUV
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2021 |
KMC
1 - 4
SIM
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dodoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 0
DJF
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
DJF
1 - 2
KAG
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
DJF
1 - 1
GGF
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2021 |
YOU
4 - 0
DJF
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 2
DJF
39%
30%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |