Kingstonian vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
COR
2 - 5
KIN
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
KIN
1 - 1
MET
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
KIN
2 - 3
WHI
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
TOW
2 - 4
KIN
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
KIN
4 - 1
LEA
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
MER
1 - 2
GOD
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
WOR
2 - 0
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
TOW
2 - 3
MER
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 1
MER
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MER
4 - 1
ARL
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |