Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2025 |
KIL
1 - 2
CEL
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
MHE
2 - 2
KIL
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
KIL
0 - 0
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
KIL
2 - 1
DUN
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
HIB
2 - 2
KIL
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2025 |
FAL
1 - 2
STM
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
HIB
1 - 1
STM
58%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
STM
1 - 1
GLA
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
STM
0 - 0
MHE
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |