Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
KIL
2 - 0
FAL
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
DUM
1 - 0
KIL
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
KIL
1 - 0
ABE
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
CLY
1 - 2
KIL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
HOM
4 - 1
KIL
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
STM
0 - 2
CEL
29%
25%
47%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
HOM
1 - 0
STM
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
STM
4 - 1
DUM
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
TLA
2 - 1
STM
81%
13%
7%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
STM
2 - 3
FAL
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |