Kilmarnock vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
11º
4º
18
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
KIL
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
STM
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 2
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 2
KIL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 2
HIB
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 0
MHE
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 1
LIV
29%
28%
44%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GLA
4 - 0
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 3
CEL
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 1
LIV
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |