Kilmarnock vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
ARB
0 - 0
KIL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
KIL
2 - 0
CLY
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
KIL
2 - 1
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
KIL
1 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
DUM
0 - 0
STJ
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUM
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
AYR
1 - 3
DUM
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1975 |
AIR
1 - 1
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
DUM
0 - 1
HOM
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |