Kilmarnock vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
CLY
4 - 2
KIL
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
KIL
2 - 4
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1974 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
GRE
2 - 3
KIL
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 2
KIL
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
AYR
1 - 0
ARB
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
ARB
3 - 1
HOM
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
AIR
1 - 0
ARB
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
ABE
5 - 1
ARB
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |