Kidlington vs Hadley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
48.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
11º
10º
55
5º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidlington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CIR
2 - 0
KID
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
KID
1 - 2
DID
41%
24%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
KID
2 - 2
AYL
68%
18%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCR
0 - 1
KID
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KID
1 - 1
AFD
27%
24%
50%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hadley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
HAD
3 - 1
HER
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 4
HAD
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
HAD
1 - 0
CIR
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HAD
5 - 3
HIG
69%
17%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 0
HAD
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |