Kidderminster Harriers vs Burscough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
KID
2 - 0
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
KID
3 - 2
SAL
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
KID
2 - 0
CUR
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
OXF
1 - 0
KID
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
KID
1 - 0
WRE
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Burscough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 2
HYD
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
RED
1 - 2
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
HIN
1 - 2
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 2
STA
25%
24%
50%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GAT
4 - 1
BUR
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |