3. Liga Round 4

Kickers Offenbach vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis

Kickers Offenbach Arminia Bielefeld
60 ELO 62
-2% Tilt -10.3%
1877º General ELO ranking 367º
81º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
43.6%
Kickers Offenbach
26.1%
Draw
30.4%
Arminia Bielefeld

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
Kickers Offenbach
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.4%
Win probability
Arminia Bielefeld
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kickers Offenbach
-4%
+22%
Arminia Bielefeld

ELO progression

Kickers Offenbach
Arminia Bielefeld
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kickers Offenbach
Kickers Offenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2012
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
2 - 0
Kickers Offenbach
OFC
55%
25%
20%
61 64 3 0
28 Jul. 2012
OFC
Kickers Offenbach
1 - 3
Stuttgart II
STU
51%
25%
24%
62 60 2 -1
21 Jul. 2012
HAL
Hallescher FC
1 - 0
Kickers Offenbach
OFC
37%
29%
35%
63 58 5 -1
05 May. 2012
PRE
Preußen Münster
1 - 0
Kickers Offenbach
OFC
34%
29%
37%
64 59 5 -1
28 Apr. 2012
OFC
Kickers Offenbach
2 - 3
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
48%
26%
27%
65 63 2 -1

Matches

Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2012
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
3 - 2
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
41%
26%
34%
61 63 2 0
28 Jul. 2012
BOR
B. Dortmund II
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
43%
26%
31%
61 60 1 0
25 Jul. 2012
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 1
Valencia
VCF
12%
23%
65%
60 90 30 +1
20 Jul. 2012
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 1
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
40%
26%
34%
60 65 5 0
05 May. 2012
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 0
Werder Bremen II
WER
71%
19%
11%
61 48 13 -1