Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 2-1
Khazar Lankaran vs Sliema Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Khazar Lankaran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 1
KHA
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
FKN
0 - 0
KHA
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
KHA
1 - 2
REV
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
SUM
1 - 0
KHA
25%
27%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
KHA
1 - 0
TUR
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 1
KHA
37%
26%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
SLI
4 - 1
MOS
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 4
SLI
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SLI
2 - 3
HIB
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SLI
0 - 2
VAL
31%
26%
44%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |