KFC Uerdingen 05 vs Hamborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
13º
2º
29
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
39% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
1 - 2
SFB
53%
20%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 2
KFC
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
5 - 2
BOR
17%
20%
64%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
1 - 1
SSC
73%
15%
11%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
KFC
2 - 1
JUT
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 0
VFB
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 2
HAM
6%
11%
83%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 2
BWM
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 4
MSV
6%
13%
81%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MEE
6 - 3
HAM
31%
21%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |